2023-09-012023-08-302023-09-012023-04-26https://repositorio.ifal.edu.br/handle/123456789/302Professional and Technological Education in Brazil has developed in terms of the number of students enrolled. In addition to this development, there has been an increase in school dropout rates. This research generally intends to investigate the variables that can be used in the modeling of predictive analysis of school dropout in Integrated High School (Agricultural Course) of IFAL - Campus Satuba. The problem question that is intended to be answered is: what variable trends can be used in a predictive analysis model, according to the dropout student profile that can measure the probability of school dropout risk in the scope of Professional and Technological Education (EPT) at the average level offered by the Federal Institute of Alagoas (IFAL) - Campus Satuba? For this, a study was carried out in the technical course integrated to the high school in agriculture at IFAL - Campus Satuba. The methodology of this investigation was of the action-research type, since its methodological procedures are strongly linked to an interventionist action. The present research, regarding the approach and its nature, is of the mixed type, qualitative and quantitative. The data collection instruments were: official data from the academic system of the Academic Registration Coordination of the Campus, modalities applied to incoming students and interviews with the servants who attended directly in the course. The technique for analyzing the data used is predictive analysis, machine learning algorithms, binary logistic regression and statistical-mathematical model. The database was formed by the profile of students who dropped out from 2014 to 2019; A comparison was made with the profiles of students with active enrollment in the 2nd and 3rd years of the 2022 school year and also compared with the profile of students entering for the 2023 school year.Acesso AbertoEducaçãoEvasão escolarModelo PreditivoDissertaçãoCNPQ::CIENCIAS HUMANAS::EDUCACAO::ENSINO-APRENDIZAGEM::METODOS E TECNICAS DE ENSINO